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The latest on the Ukraine-Russia crisis and what to know about hopes of averting war

The latest on the Ukraine-Russia crisis and what to know about hopes of averting war
we are actively working to reach a diplomatic solution to deescalate the crisis over the weekend. As you all know, the President spoke with with President Putin and we remain engaged with the Russian government in full coordination with our allies and partners. The path for diplomacy remains available if Russia chooses to engage constructively. However, we are clear eyed about the prospects of that. Given the steps Russia is taking on the ground in plain sight, we're seeing new Russian forces have been arriving at the Ukrainian border every day. As we have said before, we're in the window. Um when an invasion could begin at any time, we will not comment on any details of our intelligence information except that except to say that it could begin this week despite a lot of speculation that it would happen after the olympics. Again, something that jake Sullivan said right here on friday, it remains unclear which path Russia will choose to take. The U. S. Is ready for any situation.
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The latest on the Ukraine-Russia crisis and what to know about hopes of averting war
Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted Germany's chancellor on Tuesday after the Kremlin signaled that it was still possible for diplomacy to head off what Western officials have said could be an imminent invasion of Ukraine.In another possible sign that the Kremlin would like to lower the temperature raised by its amassing of troops bear Ukraine's border, Russia announced that some units participating in military exercises would begin returning to their bases.But much remains unclear about Russia's plans and how the latest crisis over Ukraine will play out.Here鈥檚 a look at what is happening where and why:WHAT IS THE RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT SAYING?Russia鈥檚 Defense Ministry announced that some units participating in exercises would begin returning to their bases. But it wasn't immediately clear where exactly these troops were deployed or how many were leaving.The news came a day after Western officials said some forces and military hardware were moving toward the Ukrainian border, muddying the picture. Russia denies it has any plans to invade Ukraine, despite placing troops on Ukraine鈥檚 borders to the north, south and east and launching massive military drills nearby.Russia has massed more than 130,000 troops near Ukraine. While the U.S. agreed that there was still a possibility of a diplomatic path out, the country, along with the U.K. and other allies, have kept up their warnings that those forces could move on Ukraine at any moment.At a meeting with Putin on Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov indicated that Russia was ready to keep talking about the security grievances it has raised during the crisis.Asked Tuesday about troops returning to permanent bases after exercises, Lavrov stressed that Russia holds military drills 鈥渙n its own territory and according to its own plans, they start, go on and end as planned.鈥滺OW DO OTHERS SEE THAT?Ukraine's leaders voiced skepticism.鈥淩ussia constantly makes various statements,鈥� Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 why we have the rule: We won鈥檛 believe when we hear, we鈥檒l believe when we see. When we see troops pulling out, we鈥檒l believe in de-escalation.鈥滷rench government spokesman Gabriel Attal said France was trying to confirm the information about Russian troop movements and he would speak 鈥渃arefully.鈥濃淏ut if confirmed, that鈥檚 obviously a good thing. That would be a sign of de-escalation, which we have been calling for for several weeks. That would also confirm that we were right to reinitiate dialogue,鈥� Attal said. French President Emmanuel Macron met with Putin in Moscow last week.NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that 鈥渟o far, we have not seen any de-escalation on the ground, not seen any signs of reduced Russian military presence on the borders of Ukraine.鈥漇toltenberg said Russia has in the past moved into areas, like Belarus, with troops and equipment, then pulled back while leaving military material in place for rapid use later. He said that NATO wants to see a 鈥渟ignificant and enduring withdrawal of forces, troops, and not least the heavy equipment.鈥滺owever, Stoltenberg said there are 鈥渟ome grounds for cautious optimism鈥� for diplomatic efforts given the signals coming from Moscow.British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said Russia was sending 鈥渕ixed signals.鈥濃淲e are seeing Russian openness to conversations,鈥� Johnson said after a meeting of his government鈥檚 COBRA crisis committee. 鈥淥n the other hand, the intelligence we are seeing today is still not encouraging.鈥滺e said Russia continued to build field hospitals in Belarus near the Ukrainian border, which 鈥渃an only be construed as preparation for an invasion.鈥� WHAT'S HAPPENING ON THE DIPLOMATIC FRONT?German Chancellor Olaf Scholz met Putin in Moscow, a day after he visited Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv in a show of solidarity.On Monday, Scholz demanded 鈥渃lear steps to de-escalate the current tensions" from Russia. And he underlined Western unity in preparing to impose tough sanctions if Russia does encroach further into Ukraine, though once again he didn't specify what exactly what those would be.Scholz said that 鈥渨e are in a position any day to take the necessary decisions.鈥濃淣o one should doubt the determination and preparedness of the EU, NATO, Germany and the United States, for example, when it comes to what has to be done if there is military aggression against Ukraine,鈥� he added. 鈥淲e will then act, and there will be very far-reaching measures that would have significant influence on Russia鈥檚 possibilities of economic development.鈥滷oreign Minister Zbigniew Rau of Poland, currently the chair of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, met Lavrov in Moscow. Rau said the OSCE has offered multilateral talks aimed at easing tensions.Ukraine鈥檚 foreign minister hosted his Italian counterpart. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said he conveyed to Zelenskyy during a phone call Japan's strong support for diplomatic efforts and sanctions against Russia in case of aggression.WHAT DO RUSSIAN LAWMAKERS WANT?Russian lawmakers called on Putin to recognize rebel-held areas in eastern Ukraine, the two self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk People鈥檚 Republics, as independent states. The State Duma, Russia鈥檚 lower house of parliament, voted Tuesday to submit an appeal to Putin to that effect, put forward earlier by Russia鈥檚 Communist party.Kyiv isn't fulfilling the Minsk agreements, mediated by Germany and France in an effort to bring peace to eastern Ukraine, and 鈥渙ur citizens and compatriots that live in Donbas need help and support,鈥� State Duma speaker Vyacheslav Volodin said on the Telegram messaging app.Volodin said the document will be submitted to Putin 鈥渋mmediately.鈥滽remlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said earlier Tuesday that the issue of recognizing the self-proclaimed republics is 鈥渧ery, very relevant to the public.鈥� But it was unclear what consequences if any the vote would have.WHAT'S THE FEELING IN MOSCOW?While the U.S. has warned that Russia could invade Ukraine any day, the drumbeat of war is all but unheard in Moscow, where pundits and ordinary people alike don鈥檛 expect Putin to attack Russia's ex-Soviet neighbor.The Kremlin has cast the U.S. warnings of an imminent attack as 鈥渉ysteria鈥� and 鈥渁bsurdity,鈥� and many Russians believe that Washington is deliberately stoking panic and fomenting tensions to trigger a conflict for domestic reasons.Putin鈥檚 angry rhetoric about NATO鈥檚 plans to expand to Russia鈥檚 鈥渄oorstep鈥� and its refusal to hear Moscow鈥檚 concerns has struck a chord with the public, tapping into a sense of betrayal by the West after the end of the Cold War and widespread suspicion about Western designs.___Dasha Litvinova in Moscow, Yuras Karmanau in Kyiv, Ukraine, Sylvie Corbet in Paris, Lorne Cook in Brussels, Jill Lawless in London, and Jan M. Olsen in Copenhagen, Denmark, contributed to this report.

Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted Germany's chancellor on Tuesday after the Kremlin signaled that it was still possible for diplomacy to head off what Western officials have said could be an imminent invasion of Ukraine.

In another possible sign that the Kremlin would like to lower the temperature raised by its amassing of troops bear Ukraine's border, Russia announced that some units participating in military exercises would begin returning to their bases.

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But much remains unclear about Russia's plans and how the latest crisis over Ukraine will play out.

Here鈥檚 a look at what is happening where and why:

WHAT IS THE RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT SAYING?

Russia鈥檚 Defense Ministry announced that some units participating in exercises would begin returning to their bases. But it wasn't immediately clear where exactly these troops were deployed or how many were leaving.

The news came a day after Western officials said some forces and military hardware were moving toward the Ukrainian border, muddying the picture. to invade Ukraine, despite placing troops on Ukraine鈥檚 borders to the north, south and east and launching massive military drills nearby.

Russia has massed more than 130,000 troops near Ukraine. While the U.S. agreed that there was still a possibility of a diplomatic path out, the country, along with the U.K. and other allies, have kept up their warnings that those forces could move on Ukraine at any moment.

At a meeting with Putin on Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov indicated that Russia was ready to keep talking about it has raised during the crisis.

Asked Tuesday about troops returning to permanent bases after exercises, Lavrov stressed that Russia holds military drills 鈥渙n its own territory and according to its own plans, they start, go on and end as planned.鈥�

HOW DO OTHERS SEE THAT?

Ukraine's leaders voiced skepticism.

鈥淩ussia constantly makes various statements,鈥� Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 why we have the rule: We won鈥檛 believe when we hear, we鈥檒l believe when we see. When we see troops pulling out, we鈥檒l believe in de-escalation.鈥�

French government spokesman Gabriel Attal said France was trying to confirm the information about Russian troop movements and he would speak 鈥渃arefully.鈥�

鈥淏ut if confirmed, that鈥檚 obviously a good thing. That would be a sign of de-escalation, which we have been calling for for several weeks. That would also confirm that we were right to reinitiate dialogue,鈥� Attal said. French President Emmanuel Macron met with Putin in Moscow last week.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that 鈥渟o far, we have not seen any de-escalation on the ground, not seen any signs of reduced Russian military presence on the borders of Ukraine.鈥�

Stoltenberg said Russia has in the past moved into areas, like Belarus, with troops and equipment, then pulled back while leaving military material in place for rapid use later. He said that NATO wants to see a 鈥渟ignificant and enduring withdrawal of forces, troops, and not least the heavy equipment.鈥�

However, Stoltenberg said there are 鈥渟ome grounds for cautious optimism鈥� for diplomatic efforts given the signals coming from Moscow.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said Russia was sending 鈥渕ixed signals.鈥�

鈥淲e are seeing Russian openness to conversations,鈥� Johnson said after a meeting of his government鈥檚 COBRA crisis committee. 鈥淥n the other hand, the intelligence we are seeing today is still not encouraging.鈥�

He said Russia continued to build field hospitals in Belarus near the Ukrainian border, which 鈥渃an only be construed as preparation for an invasion.鈥�

WHAT'S HAPPENING ON THE DIPLOMATIC FRONT?

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz met Putin in Moscow, a day after he visited Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv in a show of solidarity.

On Monday, Scholz demanded 鈥渃lear steps to de-escalate the current tensions" from Russia. And he underlined Western unity in preparing to impose tough sanctions if Russia does encroach further into Ukraine, though once again he didn't specify what exactly what those would be.

Scholz said that 鈥渨e are in a position any day to take the necessary decisions.鈥�

鈥淣o one should doubt the determination and preparedness of the EU, NATO, Germany and the United States, for example, when it comes to what has to be done if there is military aggression against Ukraine,鈥� he added. 鈥淲e will then act, and there will be very far-reaching measures that would have significant influence on Russia鈥檚 possibilities of economic development.鈥�

Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau of Poland, currently the chair of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, met Lavrov in Moscow. Rau said the OSCE has offered multilateral talks aimed at easing tensions.

Ukraine鈥檚 foreign minister hosted his Italian counterpart. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said he conveyed to Zelenskyy during a phone call Japan's strong support for diplomatic efforts and in case of aggression.

WHAT DO RUSSIAN LAWMAKERS WANT?

Russian lawmakers called on Putin to recognize rebel-held areas in eastern Ukraine, the two self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk People鈥檚 Republics, as independent states. The State Duma, Russia鈥檚 lower house of parliament, voted Tuesday to submit an appeal to Putin to that effect, put forward earlier by Russia鈥檚 Communist party.

Kyiv isn't fulfilling the Minsk agreements, mediated by Germany and France in an effort to bring peace to eastern Ukraine, and 鈥渙ur citizens and compatriots that live in Donbas need help and support,鈥� State Duma speaker Vyacheslav Volodin said on the Telegram messaging app.

Volodin said the document will be submitted to Putin 鈥渋mmediately.鈥�

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said earlier Tuesday that the issue of recognizing the self-proclaimed republics is 鈥渧ery, very relevant to the public.鈥� But it was unclear what consequences if any the vote would have.

WHAT'S THE FEELING IN MOSCOW?

While the U.S. has warned that Russia could invade Ukraine any day, the drumbeat of war is all but unheard in Moscow, where pundits and ordinary people alike don鈥檛 expect Putin to attack Russia's ex-Soviet neighbor.

The Kremlin has cast the U.S. warnings of an imminent attack as 鈥渉ysteria鈥� and 鈥渁bsurdity,鈥� and many Russians believe that Washington is deliberately stoking panic and fomenting tensions to trigger a conflict for domestic reasons.

Putin鈥檚 angry rhetoric about NATO鈥檚 plans to expand to Russia鈥檚 鈥渄oorstep鈥� and its refusal to hear Moscow鈥檚 concerns has struck a chord with the public, tapping into a sense of betrayal by the West after the end of the Cold War and widespread suspicion about Western designs.

___

Dasha Litvinova in Moscow, Yuras Karmanau in Kyiv, Ukraine, Sylvie Corbet in Paris, Lorne Cook in Brussels, Jill Lawless in London, and Jan M. Olsen in Copenhagen, Denmark, contributed to this report.