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What is a housing market correction, and are we in one?

Some signs are pointing to a housing correction 鈥� but don鈥檛 mistake it for a crash.

What is a housing market correction, and are we in one?

Some signs are pointing to a housing correction 鈥� but don鈥檛 mistake it for a crash.

*** new study shows that two out of five Americans think they would need to win the lotto to become homeowners. And I'm not talking about *** scratch off lotto either. I'm talking about hitting the jackpot. The research conducted by one poll on behalf of Debby Holmes found that 26% of respondents believe they'd need to inherit money from someone to ever own *** home. And another 19% of respondents believe they'd need to marry someone rich with these interest rates the way they are. I understand why some people polled even believe they would never be able to afford *** home. The housing market has changed rapidly during the past few years and more than half of those polled said they believe the market is unstable, but 46% of people are hopeful and believe that things will level out within the next 2 to 5 years. Those that dream of being able to buy *** home in the next few years are prioritizing *** few things including affordable monthly payments. The home being the right size for now and for the future and the location being ideal for their family needs. I get it. What's the point of *** perfect home in *** place you don't want to be?
Updated: 7:06 AM CDT Aug 3, 2023
Editorial Standards 鈸�
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What is a housing market correction, and are we in one?

Some signs are pointing to a housing correction 鈥� but don鈥檛 mistake it for a crash.

Updated: 7:06 AM CDT Aug 3, 2023
Editorial Standards 鈸�
PHNjcmlwdCB0eXBlPSJ0ZXh0L2phdmFzY3JpcHQiIHNyYz1odHRwczovL3N0YXRpYy5teWZpbmFuY2UuY29tL3dpZGdldC9teUZpbmFuY2Vfdmlld3BvcnRfZGV0ZWN0aW9uLmpzPjwvc2NyaXB0PjxzY3JpcHQgYXN5bmMgdHlwZT0idGV4dC9qYXZhc2NyaXB0Ij5teWZpV2F0Y2hXaWRnZXQoJ215ZmlXaWRnZXRfMTUnKTtteWZpV2F0Y2hXaWRnZXQoJ215ZmlXaWRnZXRfOScpO215ZmlXYXRjaFdpZGdldCgnbXlmaVdpZGdldF8xNS4xJyk7PC9zY3JpcHQ+Aly J. Yale is a contributing writer for Hearst, focusing largely on housing, real estate, and mortgages. She loves demystifying these sometimes complex topics and helping consumers make informed decisions about their finances. In her 15 years as a professional writer and editor, her work has been published in Forbes, Buy Side from the Wall Street Journal, Business Insider, Money, CBS News, US News & World Report, Fortune, and The Miami Herald. She has a bachelor鈥檚 degree in radio-TV-film and news-editorial journalism from the Bob Schieffer College of Communication at Texas Christian University and is a member of the National Association of Real Estate Editors. She lives by her reward-earning credit card and is holding onto her 2.75% mortgage rate for dear life.Hearst Television participates in various affiliate marketing programs, which means we may get paid commissions on editorially chosen products purchased through our links to retailer sites. This may influence which products we write about and where those products appear on the site, but it does not affect our recommendations or advice, which are grounded in research.Mobile app users, click here for the best viewing experience.Crash. Bubble. Correction. These are all phrases you鈥檒l often hear thrown around when it comes to real estate.The latter 鈥� a housing market correction 鈥� has become particularly popular in recent months, when mortgage rates rose and prices finally began to moderate.But what is a housing market correction exactly, and are we currently experiencing one? Here鈥檚 what you need to know.What is a housing market correction?There鈥檚 no official definition for what makes a housing market correction, but most experts say it鈥檚 around a 10% drop in home prices.鈥淚n stocks, investors generally refer to a correction as a 10% but less than 20% decline in price,鈥� says Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com. 鈥淭he idea of using the word correction likely comes from the idea that the market is in an unsustainable place and needs to experience some mild declines to bring fundamentals back in line.鈥滶ssentially, when homes get too expensive or consumers can no longer afford them, they stop purchasing real estate. Then, the market must adjust to spur buying activity once again. It鈥檚 like that old adage says, 鈥淲hat goes up, must come down.鈥� 鈥淎 housing market correction is when home prices experience a moderate decline following a period of rapid growth,鈥� says Craig Studnicky, chief executive officer of ISG World, a real estate sales, marketing, and research firm in South Florida. 鈥淭he purpose of a correction is to naturally adjust prices in line with important factors like affordability, demand, and supply. It's like a necessary correction that helps restore a more sustainable and balanced state to the market.鈥滺ow long a housing correction lasts depends on current market conditions, though in some cases, it may be just a few months to a year.鈥淭his usually happens when the correction is not too severe, and the market bounces back fairly soon by finding a balance between the number of houses available and the number of buyers,鈥� Studnicky says. 鈥淥ther times, a housing market correction can be a big deal and can stretch out over a longer period. If the correction is caused by complicated economic factors or messed-up imbalances in the housing market, it might take several years for things to stabilize and get back on track.鈥滺ousing market correction vs. housing market crashA housing market correction and a housing crash aren鈥檛 the same thing. With a correction, things are simply coming back into balance. Prices fall, but not by any huge amount. A crash, on the other hand, comes with a more significant decrease 鈥� and usually an unexpected one, too.鈥淎 housing market crash is a much more severe and sudden drop in home prices,鈥� Studnicky says. 鈥淚t's often accompanied by a significant economic downturn.鈥� In the housing crash of the late aughts, for example, home prices plummeted from a median of $257,400 in early 2007 to just $208,400 two years later.Crashes also bring about further-reaching impacts, too. As Studnicky explains, 鈥淯nfortunately, they can have serious consequences like widespread foreclosures, declining housing construction, and a negative impact on the overall economy.鈥漈hat鈥檚 what happened in the last crash 鈥� when 2.3 million homes were foreclosed on and the economy entered a prolonged recession. Are we in a housing market correction?Fortunately, we鈥檙e not currently in a crash-like scenario. A correction, though, might be in the works.Home prices have fallen across 2023, though not significantly. According to Realtor.com, the median home price in June was $445,000, up slightly from May but down nearly 1% since last June. 鈥淭he typical home sales price has experienced some months of decline on a month-to-month basis, and although seasonally adjusted data shows that prices are advancing month to month, this year's prices lag behind year ago levels,鈥� Hale says. 鈥淭his is true for both recent existing home sales prices, new home sales prices, and listing prices 鈥� the prices of homes that sellers have listed for sale.鈥漈hose falling prices could indicate that the market is correcting 鈥� coming down from the soaring highs caused by bargain-basement mortgage rates in 2020 and 2022. In fact, that鈥檚 just what the forecasts project. 鈥淥ur current expectation is that we'll see mild price softness through the end of 2023, which will mean a very mild 0.6% dip in the typical sales price in 2023 compared to 2022,鈥� Hale says.Homes taking longer to sell could also be an indicator that a correction is afoot. Realtor.com鈥檚 data shows homes took an average 44 days to sell last month. That鈥檚 13 days longer than last year. As Studnicky explains, 鈥淭his can occur when there's reduced demand, and sellers need more time to find buyers who are willing to meet their asking prices.鈥漈he bottom lineIt鈥檚 not totally clear if the housing market is correcting right now 鈥� and it could vary from place to place. If it is, though, that鈥檚 likely a good thing, at least for hopeful homebuyers.鈥淚t鈥檚 important to note that a housing market correction does not necessarily mean that the real estate market is in trouble,鈥� says Adie Kriegstein, a real estate agent with Compass in New York. 鈥淚t鈥檚 a natural part of the real estate cycle and can actually be healthy for the market by bringing home prices back to more sustainable levels.鈥滷or homeowners, it could mean a loss in home value, but experts don鈥檛 expect the decline to be anything significant. That鈥檚 because supply is very limited, and unless there are widespread job losses, a recession, or some other economic struggle occurring, there will likely be fewer homes for sale than buyers.鈥淒ue to limited housing supply, we may not see substantial home price declines even though affordability in the housing market is far below recent norms,鈥� Hale says. 鈥淵ear to date newly listed homes lag 20% behind last year's low pace, and weekly data show that the number of homes for sale is starting to drop. These changes come on top of a decade's worth of under-building that has left the housing market several million homes short of household growth in the same period.鈥滶ditorial Disclosure: All articles are prepared by editorial staff and contributors. Opinions expressed therein are solely those of the editorial team and have not been reviewed or approved by any advertiser. The information, including rates and fees, presented in this article is accurate as of the date of the publish. Check the lender鈥檚 website for the most current information.This article was originally published on SFGate.com and reviewed by Lauren Williamson, who serves as the Home and Financial Services Editor for the Hearst E-Commerce team. Email her at [email protected].

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Aly J. Yale is a contributing writer for Hearst, focusing largely on housing, real estate, and mortgages. She loves demystifying these sometimes complex topics and helping consumers make informed decisions about their finances. In her 15 years as a professional writer and editor, her work has been published in Forbes, Buy Side from the Wall Street Journal, Business Insider, Money, CBS News, US News & World Report, Fortune, and The Miami Herald. She has a bachelor鈥檚 degree in radio-TV-film and news-editorial journalism from the Bob Schieffer College of Communication at Texas Christian University and is a member of the National Association of Real Estate Editors. She lives by her reward-earning credit card and is holding onto her 2.75% mortgage rate for dear life.

Hearst Television participates in various affiliate marketing programs, which means we may get paid commissions on editorially chosen products purchased through our links to retailer sites. This may influence which products we write about and where those products appear on the site, but it does not affect our recommendations or advice, which are grounded in research.

Mobile app users, click here for the best viewing experience.

Crash. Bubble. Correction. These are all phrases you鈥檒l often hear thrown around when it comes to real estate.

The latter 鈥� a housing market correction 鈥� has become particularly popular in recent months, when rose and prices finally began to moderate.

But what is a correction exactly, and are we currently experiencing one? Here鈥檚 what you need to know.

What is a housing market correction?

There鈥檚 no official definition for what makes a housing market correction, but most experts say it鈥檚 around a 10% drop in home prices.

鈥淚n stocks, investors generally refer to a correction as a 10% but less than 20% decline in price,鈥� says Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com. 鈥淭he idea of using the word correction likely comes from the idea that the market is in an unsustainable place and needs to experience some mild declines to bring fundamentals back in line.鈥�

Essentially, when homes get too expensive or consumers can no longer afford them, they stop purchasing real estate. Then, the market must adjust to spur buying activity once again. It鈥檚 like that old adage says, 鈥淲hat goes up, must come down.鈥�

鈥淎 housing market correction is when home prices experience a moderate decline following a period of rapid growth,鈥� says Craig Studnicky, chief executive officer of ISG World, a real estate sales, marketing, and research firm in South Florida. 鈥淭he purpose of a correction is to naturally adjust prices in line with important factors like affordability, demand, and supply. It's like a necessary correction that helps restore a more sustainable and balanced state to the market.鈥�

How long a housing correction lasts depends on current market conditions, though in some cases, it may be just a few months to a year.

鈥淭his usually happens when the correction is not too severe, and the market bounces back fairly soon by finding a balance between the number of houses available and the number of buyers,鈥� Studnicky says. 鈥淥ther times, a housing market correction can be a big deal and can stretch out over a longer period. If the correction is caused by complicated economic factors or messed-up imbalances in the housing market, it might take several years for things to stabilize and get back on track.鈥�

Housing market correction vs. housing market crash

A housing market correction and a aren鈥檛 the same thing. With a correction, things are simply coming back into balance. Prices fall, but not by any huge amount. A crash, on the other hand, comes with a more significant decrease 鈥� and usually an unexpected one, too.

鈥淎 housing market crash is a much more severe and sudden drop in home prices,鈥� Studnicky says. 鈥淚t's often accompanied by a significant economic downturn.鈥� In the housing crash of the late aughts, for example, home prices plummeted from a median of $257,400 in early 2007 to just $208,400 two years later.

Crashes also bring about further-reaching impacts, too.

As Studnicky explains, 鈥淯nfortunately, they can have serious consequences like widespread foreclosures, declining housing construction, and a negative impact on the overall economy.鈥�

That鈥檚 what happened in the last crash 鈥� when 2.3 million homes were foreclosed on and the economy entered a prolonged recession.

Are we in a housing market correction?

Fortunately, we鈥檙e not currently in a crash-like scenario. A correction, though, might be in the works.

Home prices have fallen across 2023, though not significantly. According to Realtor.com, the median home price in June was $445,000, up slightly from May but down nearly 1% since last June.

鈥淭he typical home sales price has experienced some months of decline on a month-to-month basis, and although seasonally adjusted data shows that prices are advancing month to month, this year's prices lag behind year ago levels,鈥� Hale says. 鈥淭his is true for both recent existing home sales prices, new home sales prices, and listing prices 鈥� the prices of homes that sellers have listed for sale.鈥�

Those falling prices could indicate that the market is correcting 鈥� coming down from the soaring highs caused by bargain-basement mortgage rates in 2020 and 2022. In fact, that鈥檚 just what the project.

鈥淥ur current expectation is that we'll see mild price softness through the end of 2023, which will mean a very mild 0.6% dip in the typical sales price in 2023 compared to 2022,鈥� Hale says.

Homes taking longer to sell could also be an indicator that a correction is afoot. Realtor.com鈥檚 data shows homes took an average 44 days to sell last month. That鈥檚 13 days longer than last year.

As Studnicky explains, 鈥淭his can occur when there's reduced demand, and sellers need more time to find buyers who are willing to meet their asking prices.鈥�

The bottom line

It鈥檚 not totally clear if the is correcting right now 鈥� and it could vary from place to place. If it is, though, that鈥檚 likely a good thing, at least for hopeful homebuyers.

鈥淚t鈥檚 important to note that a housing market correction does not necessarily mean that the real estate market is in trouble,鈥� says Adie Kriegstein, a real estate agent with Compass in New York. 鈥淚t鈥檚 a natural part of the real estate cycle and can actually be healthy for the market by bringing home prices back to more sustainable levels.鈥�

For homeowners, it could mean a loss in , but experts don鈥檛 expect the decline to be anything significant. That鈥檚 because supply is very limited, and unless there are widespread job losses, a , or some other economic struggle occurring, there will likely be fewer homes for sale than buyers.

鈥淒ue to limited housing supply, we may not see substantial home price declines even though affordability in the housing market is far below recent norms,鈥� Hale says. 鈥淵ear to date newly listed homes lag 20% behind last year's low pace, and weekly data show that the number of homes for sale is starting to drop. These changes come on top of a decade's worth of under-building that has left the housing market several million homes short of household growth in the same period.鈥�

Editorial Disclosure: All articles are prepared by editorial staff and contributors. Opinions expressed therein are solely those of the editorial team and have not been reviewed or approved by any advertiser. The information, including rates and fees, presented in this article is accurate as of the date of the publish. Check the lender鈥檚 website for the most current information.

This article was originally published on and reviewed by Lauren Williamson, who serves as the Home and Financial Services Editor for the Hearst E-Commerce team. Email her at [email protected].