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Experts say US weather forecasts will worsen as DOGE cuts mean fewer balloon launches

Experts say US weather forecasts will worsen as DOGE cuts mean fewer balloon launches
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STOPPED LAUNCHING WEATHER BALLOONS IN OMAHA AND RAPID CITY, SOUTH DAKOTA. THANKS FOR JOINING US. I鈥橫 JULIE CORNELL. I鈥橫 ROB MCCARTNEY. THE CHANGE IS EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY. AND THE NWS SAYS IT鈥橲 BECAUSE OF STAFFING ISSUES. KETV NEWSWATCH SEVEN鈥橲 MADDIE AUGUSTINE JOINS US NOW WITH THE IMPACT. OMAHA鈥橲 WEATHER LEADER SAYS THIS WILL HAVE. YEAH. ROB. JULIE, I鈥橫 JOINED NOW WITH METEOROLOGIST LUKE VICKERY AND LUKE. YOU TOLD ME EARLIER THIS MORNING THAT THE NWS OFFICE IN VALLEY JUST LAUNCHED ONE OF THESE WEATHER BALLOONS AT 7 A.M. YEAH, USUALLY THEY鈥橰E LAUNCHED TWICE A DAY, AND WE鈥橪L USE THAT DATA. A LOT OF TIMES TO HELP GIVE US OUR FORECAST AND HELP US WITH OUR COMPUTER MODELS. SO IT WAS KIND OF INTERESTING TO SEE ONE GO UP THIS MORNING. AND THEN THIS AFTERNOON YOU CHECK THE WEBSITE. THERE鈥橲 NOT ONE THERE. I ALSO SPOKE WITH CHIEF METEOROLOGIST BILL RANDBY ON JUST HOW SIGNIFICANT THESE CUTS ARE. I CAN鈥橳 IMAGINE APRIL 26TH OF LAST YEAR WITHOUT HAVING KNOWN WHAT THE ATMOSPHERE WAS. HAVING THAT DETAILED INFORMATION WAS CRITICAL IN TRYING TO TO FIGURE OUT WHEN TORNADOES WERE GOING TO FORM, HOW QUICKLY THEY MIGHT FORM THAT DETAILED INFORMATION PRESENTED IN DATA LIKE THIS. THE RED LINE IS THE TEMPERATURE AS THE BALLOON ROSE THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE. THE GREEN LINE IS THE DEW POINT. THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE COMING FROM WEATHER BALLOONS LIKE THIS ONE THAT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN VALLEY, NEBRASKA, LAUNCHED DURING SEVERE WEATHER IN 2021. THEY鈥橰E KIND OF THE BACKBONE OF THE WHOLE INFORMATION ACROSS THE COUNTRY. FOR DECADES, THE NWS HAS BEEN LAUNCHING WEATHER BALLOONS TWICE DAILY FROM 100 SITES ACROSS NORTH AMERICA DURING SEVERE WEATHER, POSSIBLY THREE TIMES A DAY, PROVIDING A DETAILED PICTURE OF EARTH鈥橲 ATMOSPHERE OVER A GIVEN LOCATION. IT GIVES YOU THAT INFORMATION AS TO HOW WARM THE TEMPERATURES ARE ALOFT, OR HOW MUCH MOISTURE IS THERE. BUT ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE NWS SUSPENDED WEATHER BALLOON OBSERVATIONS AT OMAHA AND RAPID CITY, SOUTH DAKOTA, EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY DUE TO, QUOTE, A LACK OF WEATHER. FORECAST OFFICE STAFFING. IF YOU HAD STAFF TO DO IT THIS MORNING, BUT NOW YOU DON鈥橳 HAVE STAFF TO DO IT, THIS EVENING, SAYS THAT THIS DECISION WAS MADE BY SOMEBODY THAT DOESN鈥橳 UNDERSTAND WEATHER. OMAHA鈥橲 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST, BILL RANDBY, SAYS WITHOUT THOSE TWO LOCATIONS, IT PUTS THE MIDWEST IN A BIND. TO HAVE A VOID OF DATA RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE WILL MAKE IT HARDER FOR THE COMPUTER MODELS TO BE ACCURATE. ALL ACROSS THE COUNTRY. AND HE SAYS REMOVING THE TOOLS FROM THE EQUATION IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO HOW METEOROLOGISTS WILL OPERATE DURING SEVERE WEATHER. LIKE WEDNESDAY鈥橲 BLIZZARD. IF YOU HAVE LESS ABILITY TO BE ACCURATE OR TO BE DETAIL ORIENTED, THAT鈥橲 GOING TO HURT THOSE KINDS OF FORECASTS. I DID REACH OUT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ASKING HOW MANY STAFF MEMBERS THE OFFICES ARE SHORT AND HOW MANY ARE NEEDED TO ALLOW WEATHER BALLOON OPERATIONS. AGAIN IN OMAHA AND RAPID CITY. I DID NOT RECEIVE A RESPONSE. IT鈥橲 ALSO IMPORTANT TO NOTE THE NEXT CLOSEST LOCATIONS IN NORTH PLATTE AND ABERDEEN, SOUTH DAKOTA, HAVE ALSO BEEN RESTRI
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Experts say US weather forecasts will worsen as DOGE cuts mean fewer balloon launches
With massive job cuts, the National Weather Service is eliminating or reducing vital weather balloon launches in eight northern locations, which meteorologists and former agency leaders said will degrade the accuracy of forecasts just as severe weather season kicks in.The normally twice-daily launches of weather balloons in about 100 locations provide information that forecasters and computer models use to figure out what the weather will be and how dangerous it can get, so cutting back is a mistake, said eight different scientists, meteorologists and former top officials at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 鈥� the weather service's parent agency.The balloons soar 100,000 feet in the air with sensors called radiosondes hanging about 20 feet below them that measure temperature, dew point, humidity, barometric pressure, wind speed and direction.鈥淭he thing about weather balloons is that they give you information you can't get any other way,鈥� said D. James Baker, a former NOAA chief during the Clinton administration. He had to cut spending in the agency during his tenure but he said he refused to cut observations such as weather balloons. 鈥淚t's an absolutely essential piece of the forecasting system.鈥漊niversity of Oklahoma environment professor Renee McPherson said, 鈥淭his frankly is just dangerous.鈥濃淏ad,鈥� Ryan Maue, who was NOAA's chief scientist at the end of President Donald Trump's first term, wrote in an email. 鈥淲e should not degrade our weather system by skipping balloon launches. Not only is this embarrassing for NOAA, the cessation of weather balloon launches will worsen America's weather forecasts.鈥滾aunches will be eliminated in Omaha, Nebraska, and Rapid City, South Dakota, 鈥渄ue to a lack of Weather Forecast Office (WFO) staffing,鈥� the weather service said in a notice issued late Thursday. It also is cutting from twice daily to once daily launches in Aberdeen, South Dakota; Grand Junction, Colorado; Green Bay, Wisconsin; Gaylord, Michigan; North Platte, Nebraska and Riverton, Wyoming.The Trump administration and its Department of Government Efficiency fired hundreds, likely more than 1,000, NOAA workers earlier this year. The government then sent out letters telling probationary employees let go that they will get paid, but should not report to work.Earlier this month, the agency had announced weather balloon cuts in Albany, New York and Gray, Maine, and in late February, it ended launches in Kotzebue, Alaska. That makes 11 announced sites with reduced or eliminated balloon observations, or about one out of nine launch locations which include part of the Pacific and Caribbean.Among regularly reporting weather stations, NOAA had averaged about only one outage of balloon launches a day from 2021 to 2024, according to an Associated Press analysis of launch data.Meteorologists Jeff Masters and Tomer Burg calculate that 14 of 83 U.S. balloon sites, or 17%, are doing partial or no launches. That includes two stations that aren't launching because of a helium shortage and a third that is hindered because of coastal erosion.鈥淭he more data we can feed into our weather models, the more accurate our forecasts, but I can鈥檛 speculate on the extent of future impacts,鈥� weather service spokesperson Susan Buchanan said in an email.University at Albany meteorology professor Kristen Corbosiero looked at the map of launches Friday and said 鈥渨ow, that is an empty area ... That's not great.鈥滳orbosiero works in the building where the Albany weather service used to go to the roof to launch twice-daily weather balloons. It's now down to one at night, which she said it is worrisome heading into severe weather season.鈥淔or those of us east of the Rocky Mountains, this is probably the worst time of year,鈥� said Oklahoma's McPherson. 鈥淚t's the time of year that we have some of our largest tornado outbreaks, especially as we move into April and May.鈥滷ormer National Weather Service Director Elbert 鈥淛oe鈥� Friday said the weather balloons get 鈥渢he detailed lower atmospheric level of temperature and humidity that can determine whether the atmosphere is going to be hot enough to set off severe storms and how intense they might be.鈥漇atellites do a good job getting a big picture and ground measurements and radar show what's happening on the ground, but the weather balloons provide the key middle part of the forecasting puzzle 鈥� the atmosphere 鈥� where so much weather brews, several meteorologists said.All of the 10 announced reductions are in the northern part of the United States. That's about where the jet stream 鈥� which is a river of air that moves weather systems across the globe 鈥� is this time of year, so not having as many observations is especially problematic, McPherson and Corbosiero said.Weather balloons are also vital for helping forecast when and where it will rain, said Baker and another former NOAA chief, Rick Spinrad.The weather agency has been launching balloons regularly since the 1930s. During World War II, weather balloon launches in the Arctic helped America win the air battle over Europe with better forecasts for planes, former weather chief Friday said.It takes 90 minutes to an hour to fill a weather balloon with helium or hydrogen, get it fitted with a sensor, then ready it for launch making sure the radiosonde doesn't drag on the ground, said Friday, who recalled launching a balloon in Nome, Alaska with 30 mph winds and windchill of about 30 degrees below zero.Meteorologists then track the data for a couple hours before the balloon falls back to the ground for a total of about four of five hours work for one person, Friday said.鈥淚t's kind of fun to do,鈥� Friday said on Friday.

With massive job cuts, the National Weather Service is eliminating or reducing vital weather balloon launches in eight northern locations, which meteorologists and former agency leaders said will degrade the accuracy of forecasts just as severe weather season kicks in.

The normally twice-daily launches of weather balloons in about 100 locations provide information that forecasters and computer models use to figure out what the weather will be and how dangerous it can get, so cutting back is a mistake, said eight different scientists, meteorologists and former top officials at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 鈥� the weather service's parent agency.

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The balloons soar 100,000 feet in the air with sensors called radiosondes hanging about 20 feet below them that measure temperature, dew point, humidity, barometric pressure, wind speed and direction.

鈥淭he thing about weather balloons is that they give you information you can't get any other way,鈥� said D. James Baker, a former NOAA chief during the Clinton administration. He had to cut spending in the agency during his tenure but he said he refused to cut observations such as weather balloons. 鈥淚t's an absolutely essential piece of the forecasting system.鈥�

University of Oklahoma environment professor Renee McPherson said, 鈥淭his frankly is just dangerous.鈥�

鈥淏ad,鈥� Ryan Maue, who was NOAA's chief scientist at the end of President Donald Trump's first term, wrote in an email. 鈥淲e should not degrade our weather system by skipping balloon launches. Not only is this embarrassing for NOAA, the cessation of weather balloon launches will worsen America's weather forecasts.鈥�

Launches will be eliminated in Omaha, Nebraska, and Rapid City, South Dakota, 鈥渄ue to a lack of Weather Forecast Office (WFO) staffing,鈥� the weather service said in a notice issued late Thursday. It also is cutting from n Aberdeen, South Dakota; Grand Junction, Colorado; Green Bay, Wisconsin; Gaylord, Michigan; North Platte, Nebraska and Riverton, Wyoming.

The Trump administration and its Department of Government Efficiency earlier this year. The government then sent out letters telling probationary employees let go that they will get paid, but should not report to work.

Earlier this month, the agency had announced weather balloon cuts in and in late February, it . That makes 11 announced sites with reduced or eliminated balloon observations, or about one out of nine launch locations which include part of the Pacific and Caribbean.

Among regularly reporting weather stations, NOAA had averaged about only one outage of balloon launches a day from 2021 to 2024, according to an Associated Press analysis of launch data.

Meteorologists Jeff Masters and Tomer Burg calculate that 14 of 83 U.S. balloon sites, or 17%, are doing partial or no launches. That includes two stations that aren't launching because of a helium shortage and a third that is hindered because of coastal erosion.

鈥淭he more data we can feed into our weather models, the more accurate our forecasts, but I can鈥檛 speculate on the extent of future impacts,鈥� weather service spokesperson Susan Buchanan said in an email.

University at Albany meteorology professor Kristen Corbosiero looked at the map of launches Friday and said 鈥渨ow, that is an empty area ... That's not great.鈥�

Corbosiero works in the building where the Albany weather service used to go to the roof to launch twice-daily weather balloons. It's now down to one at night, which she said it is worrisome heading into severe weather season.

鈥淔or those of us east of the Rocky Mountains, this is probably the worst time of year,鈥� said Oklahoma's McPherson. 鈥淚t's the time of year that we have some of our largest tornado outbreaks, especially as we move into April and May.鈥�

Former National Weather Service Director Elbert 鈥淛oe鈥� Friday said the weather balloons get 鈥渢he detailed lower atmospheric level of temperature and humidity that can determine whether the atmosphere is going to be hot enough to set off severe storms and how intense they might be.鈥�

Satellites do a good job getting a big picture and ground measurements and radar show what's happening on the ground, but the weather balloons provide the key middle part of the forecasting puzzle 鈥� the atmosphere 鈥� where so much weather brews, several meteorologists said.

All of the 10 announced reductions are in the northern part of the United States. That's about where the jet stream 鈥� which is a river of air that moves weather systems across the globe 鈥� is this time of year, so not having as many observations is especially problematic, McPherson and Corbosiero said.

Weather balloons are also vital for helping forecast when and where it will rain, said Baker and another former NOAA chief, Rick Spinrad.

The weather agency has been launching balloons regularly since the 1930s. During World War II, weather balloon launches in the Arctic helped America win the air battle over Europe with better forecasts for planes, former weather chief Friday said.

It takes 90 minutes to an hour to fill a weather balloon with helium or hydrogen, get it fitted with a sensor, then ready it for launch making sure the radiosonde doesn't drag on the ground, said Friday, who recalled launching a balloon in Nome, Alaska with 30 mph winds and windchill of about 30 degrees below zero.

Meteorologists then track the data for a couple hours before the balloon falls back to the ground for a total of about four of five hours work for one person, Friday said.

鈥淚t's kind of fun to do,鈥� Friday said on Friday.